Specious Logic

In 2003, America Online (AOL) investors brought a securities class action alleging that Credit Suisse First Boston (CSFB) fraudulently withheld relevant information from the market in its reporting on the AOL-Time Warner merger. After many years of litigation, the D. of Mass. granted summary judgment to CSFB, finding that the plaintiffs had failed to raise a triable issue of fact as to loss causation.

The key basis for the district court’s decision was its rejection of the plaintiffs’ expert study. In particular, the district court found that the study improperly (a) cherry-picked days with unusual stock price volatility, (b) overused dummy variables to make it appear that AOL’s stock price was particularly volatile on the days CSFB issued its reports, (c) attributed “volatility in AOL’s stock price to the reports of defendants analysts when, at the time of the inflation or deflation, an efficient market would have already priced in the reports,” and (d) failed to conduct “an intra-day trading analysis for each event day with confounding information (which is, to say, nearly all of them) in order to provide the jury with some basis for discerning the cause of the stock price fluctuation.”

On appeal, the First Circuit affirmed the exclusion of the expert testimony and the grant of summary judgment. See Bricklayers and Trowel Trades Int’l Pension Fund v. Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC, 2014 WL 1910961 (1st Cir. May 14, 2014). The appellate court disagreed that the expert’s use of dummy variables was “inconsistent with the methodology or goals of a regression analysis” and concluded that it was a “dispute that should be resolved by the jury.” However, the other three deficiencies identified by the district court were “more than sufficient” to find that the district court had not abused its discretion.

The plaintiffs argued that affirming the district court’s decision was inappropriate because it was uncontested that 5 of the event days identified by the expert as having “statistically significant abnormal returns” (out of a total of 57 days) “did not suffer from any methodological infirmities.” While the appellate court conceded that it could be an abuse of discretion to reject “mostly salvageable expert testimony for narrow flaws,” in this case it “confront[ed] the reverse situation – pervasive problems with [the expert’s] event study that, allegedly, still leave a few dates unaffected.” Under these circumstances, the district court properly treated the entire event study as inadmissible.

Holding: Affirming exclusion of expert testimony and grant of summary judgment to defendants.

Quote of note: “Requiring judges to sort through all inadmissible testimony in order to save the remaining portions, however small, would effectively shift the burden of proof and reward experts who fill their testimony with as much borderline material as possible. We decline to overturn the district court’s ruling on this specious logic.”

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Keeping it Domestic

In its Morrison decision, the U.S. Supreme Court held that Section 10(b) (the primary federal anti-securities fraud statute) only provides a private cause of action for claims based on “[1] transactions in securities listed on domestic exchanges, and [2] domestic transactions in other securities.” A number of subsequent lower court decisions have explored the scope of those two categories, with most of the decisions taking the view that they should be strictly construed to limit Section 10(b) claims to transactions that take place within the United States.

In the UBS securities litigation, for example, the court dismissed two sets of claims that Morrison arguably precluded. First, the court held that claims asserted by foreign plaintiffs who purchased UBS stock on a foreign exchange (“foreign-cubed claims”) were barred even though UBS common stock is cross-listed on the New York Stock Exchange. Second, the court held that claims asserted by U.S. investors who purchased UBS stock on a foreign exchange (“foreign-squared claims”) were barred even though the orders were placed from the United States.

On appeal, in a case of first impression at the appellate level, the Second Circuit has affirmed that decision. In City of Pontiac Policeman’s and Firemen’s Retirement System v. UBS AG, 2014 WL 1778041 (2d Cir. May 6, 2014), the court found that the plaintiffs’ listing theory “is irreconciliable with Morrison read as a whole,” in which the court “makes clear that the focus of both prongs was domestic transactions of any kind, with the domestic listing acting as a proxy for a domestic transaction.” In addition, the Second Circuit test for whether a transaction is domestic is if “the parties incur irrevocable liability to carry our the transaction within the United States or when title is passed the United States.” The fact that the purchaser is a U.S. entity or placed the order in the U.S. does not establish that it has met this test.

Holding: Dismissal of “foreign-cubed” and “foreign-squared” claims affirmed.

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Three Strikes

As the securities litigation bar awaits the fate of the fraud-on-the-market theory, an interesting federal district court decision highlights a fact pattern that did not allow for any possible presumption of classwide reliance. In Goodman v. Genworth Financial Wealth Mangement, 2014 WWL 1452048 (E.D.N.Y. April 15, 2014), a group of investors alleged that Genworth made misrepresentations related to the management of their securities portfolios. The court, as part of its class certification analysis, examined whether the investors could demonstrate a common method of proving reliance and concluded that they could not meet that burden.

First, the plaintiffs conceded the inapplicability of the fraud-on-the-market presumption of reliance because they could “identify no efficient market or market price for the particular securities in which the putative class invested.”

Second, under Affiliated Ute, there is a presumption of reliance for securities fraud claims “involving primarily a failure to disclose” by one with a duty to disclose. If the withheld facts are material, then individual reliance need not be proven. Because the plaintiffs pointed to various written statements from Genworth about how the portfolios were managed, however, the court concluded that that any “omissions” were only “significant because they contradicted the affirmative misrepresentations.” Under these circumstances, the claims could not be described as “primarily” concerning omissions.

Finally, the plaintiffs argued (based on a line of Second Circuit decisions in non-securities fraud cases) that they could prove classwide reliance based on circumstantial evidence. In particular, the plaintiffs cited the conclusion of their expert – a former SEC chairman – that the investors would have relied on the alleged misrepresentations. The court declined to decide whether circumstantial evidence is an acceptable method of common proof in securities fraud cases. Even if it were, however, the court found that the expert opinion merely established that the alleged misrepresentations were material, not that it was reasonable to conclude that every investor actually relied upon them.

Holding: Class certification denied.

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All The CLE You Could Possibly Want

It is not too late to sign up for PLI’s Handling a Securities Case 2014: From Investigation to Trial and Everything in Between. The program takes place on Thursday, April 24 in New York and via webcast (and, shortly thereafter, on demand). The details can be found here.

Lyle Roberts of Cooley LLP (the author of The 10b-5 Daily) is co-chairing the program. The outstanding faculty will cover a wide range of topics, all while following a hypothetical case from the initial investigation through trial. There even will be a panel on ethical issues, for those in need of ethics credits.

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Cornerstone Releases Report On Settlements

Cornerstone Research has released its annual report on securities class action settlements. The notable findings include:

(1) There were 67 settlements last year, a 17.5% increase from 2012. The report concludes that the increase is likely due to the settling of “credit crisis” cases.

(2) The average settlement value was $71.3 million (significantly higher than historical levels), but the median settlement value was $6.5 million (significantly lower than historical levels). The discrepancy can be explained by the presence of six settlements over $100 million, which increased the average settlement value even as the size of more typical settlements declined.

(3) Overall, 50% of cases since 1996 (post-PSLRA) have settled for between $3.6 million and $20.6 million.

(4) In 2013, the median time to settlement from filing was 3.2 years.

Quote of Note (press release): “This past year’s data also represent the fading echoes of the financial crisis, as some of the largest settlements resolve claims of fraud surrounding transactions in mortgage-backed securities. These lawsuits won’t be around in the coming years to drive aggregate settlement values.”

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Shielding From Suspicion

The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit has issued an opinion – Yates v. Municipal Mortgage & Equity, LLC, 2014 WL 890018 (4th Cir. March 7, 2014) – that clarifies the court’s position on several securities fraud issues.

(1) Core operations (scienter) – Core operations is a scienter theory that infers that facts critical to a business’s ‘core operations’ or an important transaction are known to the company’s key officers. Exactly how and to what extent the theory can be invoked to satisfy a plaintiff’s burden to plead a strong inference of scienter has been the subject of some judicial debate. In Yates, the Fourth Circuit held that “such allegations are relevant to the court’s holistic analysis of scienter,” but without other allegations “establishing the defendant’s actual exposure to the . . . problem, the complaint falls short of the PSLRA’s particularity requirement.”

(2) Rule 10b5-1 trading plans – Two of the individual defendants sold shares pursuant to non-discretionary Rule 10b5-1 trading plans. The court found that the use of these plans “further weakens any inference of fraudulent purpose” caused by the sales, but also noted that because one of the plans was instituted during the class period, it did “less to shield [that defendant] from suspicion.”

(3) Statute of repose for Section 11 claims – The case included Section 11 claims based on an alleged misrepresentation in a registration statement that was declared effective on January 14, 2005. The plaintiffs argued that their Section 11 claims were not barred by the applicable 3-year statute of repose – despite being brought on February 1, 2008 – because the actual offering did not commence until two weeks after the effective date. The court adopted what it described as the majority position: “Section 11 is violated when a registration statement containing misleading information becomes effective.” The fact that the plaintiffs “did not know that the registration statement was effective as of January 14 is of no consequence for statute of repose purposes.”

Holding: Dismissal affirmed.

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Back To The Well

Securities litigation? Check. Then you are well on your way to getting your cert petition granted by the U.S. Supreme Court. After agreeing just last week to hear Omnicare and resolve a circuit split over the pleading of false opinions in Section 11 claims, the Court has come back this week with yet another grant of cert in a securities case.

Public Employees’ Retirement System of Mississippi v. IndyMac MBS, Inc. presents the question of whether the filing of a securities class action tolls the applicable statute of repose for individual class members. The Second Circuit found that the statute of repose cannot be tolled because it “create[s] a substantive right in those protected to be free from liability after a legislatively-determined period of time” and “[p]ermitting a plaintiff to file a complaint or intervene after the repose period . . . has run would therefore necessarily enlarge or modify a substantive right and violate the Rules Enabling Act.” The Court will hear the case next term.

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Halliburton Argued

On Wednesday, the U.S. Supreme Court heard oral argument in the Halliburton v. Erica P. John Fund case, which brings into question the continued viability of the fraud-on-the-market presumption of reliance. The fraud-on-the-market presumption is crucial to pursuing a securities fraud case as a class action – without it, the proposed class of investors would have to provide actual proof of its common reliance on the alleged misrepresentation, a daunting task for classes that can include thousands of investors.

Much of the pre-argument commentary had focused on Chief Justice Roberts as the possible “swing vote” that could create a majority in favor of eliminating the fraud-on-the-market presumption (which was judicially created by a 1988 Supreme Court decision). Based on the questioning at the hearing, however, The 10b-5 Daily’s prediction that Halliburton would be unable to find five justices who are willing to go that far seems more accurate. Indeed, to the extent that the Court is willing to change the current regime, it now appears that they are more likely to embrace the intermediate step of requiring evidence of price impact before a class can be certified (because price impact is a prerequisite of the fraud-on-the-market presumption).

Why read the tea leaves this way? A few highlights:

(1) Petitioner (Halliburton) started off arguing that the fraud-on-the-market presumption should be overruled because at least three things have changed since it was implemented: (a) the Court has consistently construed the private right of action for securities fraud narrowly, (b) the Court has issued decisions making it clear that class-wide issues should be addressed at the class certification stage, and (c) the economic premise that “investors rely in common on the integrity of the market price” is no longer accurate (assuming it ever was). In response, Justice Kagan noted that Petitioner apparently agreed “that market prices generally do respond to new material information,” so in any particular case there will have to be a fact-specific inquiry into “whether there’s an exception to this general rule.” Petitioner responded that “if the Court were inclined to keep the presumption in some sense, it should at least place the burden on the plaintiff to establish that the misrepresentation actually distorted the market price, or to give defendants the full right of rebuttal at the class certification stage to establish the price was not impacted.”

(2) Once the discussion turned to the use of price impact evidence, much of the rest of the hearing focused on that issue. Most notably, Justice Kennedy asked Petitioner to address whether a possible solution to the economic issues it had raised was to require plaintiffs to demonstrate – via an event study at class certification – that the alleged misrepresentation had impacted the market price. Petitioner readily agreed that it made “sense to focus like a laser on the only relevant question, whether the misrepresentation distorted the market price.” In response to questions from Chief Justice Roberts and Justice Alito, Petitioner also argued that the cost of these event studies would not be significant because “plaintiffs are commonly using event studies right now as part of their [overall] market efficiency showing” at class certification and that event studies are “very effective” at determining a misrepresentation’s price effect.

(3) Respondent (investors) and the government also were asked to address the use of price impact evidence at the class certification stage. In response to questioning from Justice Sotomayor and Justice Kennedy, Respondent argued that in a case alleging multiple misrepresentations, conducting event studies would be “very complicated” and “very expensive,” and, moreover, “the idea that there are not significant merits filters that prevent cases from going to trial is simply wrong, both at the pleading stage and at the summary judgment stage.” In contrast, however, the government readily conceded that if the Court were to require proof of price impact at the class certification stage, it “would be a net gain to plaintiffs, because plaintiffs already have to prove price impact at the end of the day.”

Disclosure: The author of The 10b-5 Daily submitted an amicus brief on behalf of the Washington Legal Foundation in support of petitioner.

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Chadbourne Decided (And Section 11 Is On Deck)

On the eve of the Halliburton oral argument, there have been two other developments in the U.S. Supreme Court related to securities litigation.

(1) Last week, in the Chadbourne & Parke LLP v. Troice case, the Court held that the Securities Litigation Uniform Standards Act of 1998 (SLUSA) does not preclude state-law class actions unless the alleged misrepresentation “is material to a decision by one or more individuals (other than the fraudster) to buy or sell a ‘covered security.'” The Court went on to find that the state-law class action against the defendants should be allowed to proceed because the alleged ponzi scheme, in which high-interest certificates of deposit (not covered securities) were sold to investors who were falsely told that the proceeds would be invested in liquid securities (at least some of which would be covered securities), did not satisfy this test.

The 7-2 decision authored by Justice Breyer provides an interpretation of the phrase “in connection with the purchase or sale” of a security that is contained both in SLUSA and Section 10(b) of the Securities Exchange Act (the primary statutory basis for federal securities fraud claims). The Court presents the following key arguments in support of its interpretation. First, SLUSA’s language suggests that the requisite connection to the purchase or sale must “matter” and “[i]f the only party who decides to buy or sell a covered security as a result of a lie is the liar, that is not a connection that matters.” Second, “every securities case in which this Court has found a fraud to be ‘in connection with’ a purchase or sale of a security has involved victims who took, who tried to take, who divested themselves of, who tried to divest themselves of, or who maintained an ownership interest in financial instruments that fall within the relevant statutory definition.” Finally, the Court’s reading of SLUSA is consistent with the Securities Exchange Act and the Securities Act because “[n]othing in [those] statutes suggests their object is to protect persons whose connection with the statutorily defined securities is more remote than words such as ‘buy,’ ‘sell,’ and the like, indicate.”

On its surface, of course, the decision is a victory for the plaintiffs’ bar because it narrows the scope of SLUSA preemption. But the split within the Court – Justices Kennedy and Alito filed a vigorous dissent arguing that the new test is inconsistent with the Court’s prior “broad construction” of the “in connection with” language – may be the result of two different forces at play. While the Court’s test narrows the scope of SLUSA preemption, it also appears to narrow the overall scope of Section 10(b), limiting how far the plaintiffs’ bar (and the SEC) can push the definition of a “securities fraud.” This result sheds some light on why, for example, Justice Thomas joins the majority in a short, separate concurrence that applauds the application of “a limiting principle to the phrase ‘in connection with'” – an outcome that no doubt appealed to a justice who has been in dissent in previous cases that arguably espoused a broader view of “in connection with” (e.g., O’Hagan).

(2) Apparently anxious to continue to delve into securities litigation issues, the Court also granted cert on Monday in the Omnicare, Inc. v. Laborers District Council Construction Industry Pension Fund case, which will be heard next term. At issue is the scope of Section 11 of the Securities Act, which provides a private remedy for a purchaser of securities issued under a registration statement filed with the SEC if the registration statement contains a material misstatement or omission.

The Court will consider the pleading standard for an allegedly false or misleading opinion (as opposed to statement of fact). While the Second, Third, and Ninth Circuits have held that under Section 11 a plaintiff must allege that the statement was both objectively and subjectively false – requiring allegations that the speaker’s actual opinion was different from the one expressed – in Omnicare the Sixth Circuit held that if a defendant “discloses information that includes a material misstatement [even if it is an opinion], that is sufficient and a complaint may survive a motion to dismiss without pleading knowledge of falsity.” Stay tuned.

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Applying the Safe Harbor

There are two prongs to the PSLRA’s safe harbor for forward-looking statements. First, a defendant is not liable with respect to any forward-looking statement that is identified as forward-looking and is accompanied by “meaningful cautionary statements” alerting investors to the factors that could cause actual results to differ. Second, a defendant is not be liable with respect to any forward-looking statement, even in the absence of meaningful cautionary statements, if the plaintiff cannot establish that the statement was made with “actual knowledge” that it was false or misleading.

Although the circuit courts agree that the two prongs operate separately, they are split as to whether the defendant’s state of mind should be considered in determining whether the cautionary statements are sufficiently “meaningful.” The Sixth, Ninth, and Eleventh Circuits have held that the defendant’s state of mind is irrelevant. The Seventh and Second Circuits, however, have suggested that it might be necessary to inquire into what the defendant knew about the risks facing the company before making that determination.

In In re Harman Int’l Indus., Inc. Sec. Litig., 2014 WL 197919 (D.D.C. Jan. 17, 2014), the district court agreed with the majority position and found that the defendant’s state of mind is irrelevant. First, the plain text and the legislative history of the PSLRA make it clear that the first prong should be considered without reference to the defendant’s state of mind. Second, considering the defendant’s state of mind would improperly collapse the two prongs together, essentially making it impossible for a defendant to invoke the first prong at the pleadings stage of the case.

Holding: Motion to dismiss granted.

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